On August 11, CME "Fed Watch" data was released, Fed

The probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate unchanged in September is 9.3%, with a 25 basis point rate cut.

The probability reached 90.7%. In addition, the Fed maintained the interest rate in October.

The probability of no change is 4.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is

48.9%, the cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 46.5%.

The rebound in the US stock market this week may be affected by important inflation data.

Test, CPI data will be released on Tuesday, PPI data is scheduled for the week.

Four announcements. If the inflation data in the US is higher than expected, it may
will make investors hesitate and lead to several months of US stocks

The upward trend has been hindered, rekindling concerns about stagflation. During stagflation,

In the period, both inflation and the unemployment rate will rise.

At the same time, discussions regarding Ukraine may affect the supply.

Involved in all aspects from the energy market to arms sales. SPI

Stephen, the Executive Partner of Asset Management

Innes stated in a report over the weekend: "In the future, a

Zhou feels that the market will shift from a steady glide to a wind shear edge.

Fate, macro trends and geopolitical winds may change rapidly.

Change. "During the early session of the Asian market, the Dow Jones index futures rose by about

60 points, an increase of 0.1%. S&P 500 index futures and Nasdaq

The 100 index futures also rose slightly.

The Korea Composite Stock Price Index opened up 0.3%. The Japanese stock market is closed today due to a holiday.

The market will be closed for one day. The U.S. government is imposing tariffs on imported gold bars.

The news caused intense turbulence in the international financial markets. In Washington

After announcing a 39% tariff on Swiss imported goods, the UK

The Financial Times reported on the 8th that U.S. Customs and

The ruling letter issued by the Border Protection Agency on July 31 clearly states 1 kilogram and

100 ounces of gold bars should be classified as a higher tax liability.

under the tariff code.

The New York Times stated that this means relevant information from Switzerland.

Gold bars will face a 39% tariff. This news has shocked Wall Street.

Caught off guard, the market previously widely expected that gold bars would be tax-free.

However, the White House immediately denied the tariff plan, stating that related reports...

for "error message", and promised to issue an executive order for clarification. Despite

The White House is trying to calm the storm, but the U.S. Customs and Border Protection.

The formal ruling letter and the contradictory statements from the administrative department continue to increase.

The market is worried. Bitcoin has risen above $119,000. Crude oil

Futures declined. The index measuring the dollar against six other major currencies.

The international exchange ( ICE ) US dollar index rose slightly. On the news,

President Trump will meet with Russia in Alaska on Friday.

President Putin of Russia discusses a potential ceasefire agreement in Ukraine.

On August 11, the CME "Fed Watch" data was released, the Fed

The probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate unchanged in September is 9.3%, with a 25 basis point rate cut.

The probability reached 90.7%. In addition, the Fed maintained interest rates in October.

The probability of no change is 4.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is

48.9%. The cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 46.5%.